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For example - Qantas could not secure daily traffic rights between Singapore and Paris, in their bilateral, due to the governments of Singapore and France. Air France and Singapore airlines could operate daily. Subsequently, all the premium traffic travelled on those airlines, as those airlines could offer attractive business-centric schedules.
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Just a small clarification - this is not an issue between Singapore and France but between Australia and France as the bilateral only offers limited frequencies. Singapore grants Australian carriers unlimited 'fifth-freedom' rights, but any onward flights are governed by the bilaterals between the two countries at the start and finish of the flight.
Australia has made a push for an open skies agreement with the European Union, but that seems to have stalled with no real action in the past couple of years.
Other than that, most of your analysis is pretty much spot on.